UPSC Mains 2014 · GS Paper III · Q13

UPSC Mains 2014 GS Paper 3 Q13: model answer

Should the pursuit of carbon credits and clean development mechanisms set up under UNFCCC be maintained even though there has been a massive slide in the value of a carbon credit? Discuss with respect to India’s energy needs for economic growth.

12 marks200 wordsDirective: Discuss

What the question wants

Discuss whether India should keep pursuing carbon credits and CDM despite their collapse in value, keeping its energy needs for growth in mind.

How to structure it

What happened, why continue, India's needs.

  1. CDM and CERs
  2. The price collapse
  3. Arguments to continue
  4. Arguments against
  5. India's interest
  6. What it became

How to think it through

Kyoto CDM: projects in developing countries earn CERs sold to developed countries. India was second-largest host. Prices fell from ~€20 (2008) to under €1 (2012–13) due to EU ETS oversupply, recession, no post-2012 demand. Continue: low-cost finance and tech, renewable projects, market-readiness, Paris Article 6. Against: little revenue, transaction costs, offsets let rich countries avoid cuts. Now: Article 6.4 mechanism (PACM) at COP29; India's Carbon Credit Trading Scheme 2023 under Energy Conservation (Amendment) Act 2022; Green Credit Programme.

Model answer

India was the second-largest host of CDM projects in the world after China, earning credits for wind farms, efficient boilers and biomass plants. Then, around 2012, the price of a Certified Emission Reduction fell from about €20 to under €1. The question is whether a collapsed market is still worth keeping.

What went wrong

  • Oversupply of credits in the EU's carbon market.
  • Recession in Europe cut demand.
  • No clear deal for after the first Kyoto period (2012).

Why India should continue

  • Low-cost climate finance and technology for clean projects.
  • Co-benefits: cleaner air and local jobs from the same projects.
  • Market readiness: Indian firms learned monitoring and verification.
  • Energy needs: India must grow energy supply, and credits can make renewable projects viable.
  • Future value: carbon markets were bound to return under a new climate deal.

Arguments against

  • Revenue had vanished; transaction costs remained.
  • Offsets let rich countries avoid cutting their own emissions.
  • Some projects were of doubtful additionality.

How it turned out

  • The Paris Agreement's Article 6 created a new market; its rules were finalised at COP29 (2024).
  • India launched its own Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (2023) under the amended Energy Conservation Act, 2022.
  • A Green Credit Programme rewards actions like tree planting.

India was right to stay in the market: what looked like a dead asset in 2014 became the base of its own carbon market a decade later.

Draw: A falling line of CER prices from 2008 to 2013, with the Paris Article 6 arrow rising after.

Keywords, cases and data to drop in

Kyoto Protocol, CDM, CER, India second-largest host, price crash under €1, EU ETS oversupply, additionality, Article 6, COP29, CCTS 2023, Energy Conservation (Amendment) Act 2022, Green Credit Programme.

Where most answers lose marks

  • Ignoring India's energy needs, which the question links explicitly.

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Learn the concept

Question text as printed in the official UPSC Civil Services (Main) question paper. The model answer is original Battle IAS work; use it to learn structure, not to memorise.

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